After nearly five years of record
returns, has the bull lost its edge? Have we stirred
the bear from its slumber? Don't panic, doctor, there
are still some great ways to play the market even in
these uncertain times.
RUNNING
OF THE BULL
For a while it seemed like nothing could stop the market
bull that burst out of the New Year's corral. A brief
dip in February was quickly forgotten when, seven months
later, on July 19, the S&P/TSX Composite Index roared
to an all-time high of 14,625.76.
But the joy was short-lived. Less
than a month later, investors were left to lick their
wounds when the entire 13% year-to-date gain on the
TSX benchmark index vanished. The stateside credit bug
crept across the border and sent shivers down the spines
of nervous investors. Materials stocks fell the most
in 10 years. The soaring commodity prices and manic
frenzy of merger and acquisition activity didn't seem
to matter much at that point. And suddenly, "mortgage-backed
securities" became a household term.
With three-digit swings each way
for several days in August, investors were scrambling
to find a tranquilizer gun to tame the hyperactive beast
that ravaged people's portfolios.
Lately, the market has calmed down
somewhat. The TSX Composite is back in positive territory
for 2007.
BEAR
SEASON
It's a little early to say whether the bear has awoken
from its long hibernation. But it's not easy to blame
investors who'd rather steer defensively instead of
playing with this bull's volatile temperament. The usually
tame August was certainly a wake-up call.
So where's a doctor to go for some
market-type fun? Everyone seems to be heading to the
safe haven of treasury bills (which haven't been so
readily available lately). But that's not the only option
for safe returns not by a long shot.
Stick it out If you're feeling
the impulse to play "sell and hide," then grab something
and hold on tight. The sell-off in August was possibly
only a correction, just like the one in February. Besides,
you'd be kicking yourself if the naysayers were wrong.
On sale, for a limited time
If you like to look at a glass as half full, market
dips are actually opportunities to stuff that wad of
cash under your mattress into a stock that's fallen
but likely to bounce back. Look in the bargain bin for
companies that are undervalued while counting on the
market to eventually wise up. If you believe the market
overreacts to news, whether it's good or bad, then this
might be the right approach for you. Trouble is, different
advisors have distinct methodologies to determine value.
And none is more right than the next. So keep in mind
that value is subjective.
Ol' faithful Following the
herd of speculators might not be your thing. It could
be a time to go back to blue chip stocks with solid
management, strong cash flow and consistent earnings
growth.
These stocks aren't going to move
too much, so try to find ones that have high dividend
yields or dividend growth. Why are dividend stocks good
to have? Stock prices and yields have an inverse relationship.
So when the price falls, your return ratio gets better.
And when those dividends are reinvested at a lower price,
you're getting more shares for your buck. Once the share
price recovers, you're making even more than if the
price hadn't dropped. A blessing in disguise, you could
say.
What sectors are worth looking
at? Think of staples you need no matter what shape the
economy is in like food and beverages, telecommunications
and utilities
Healthy choices Your health
is the most important thing you have, Grandma always
said. Maybe you should ask her opinion on stocks, too.
Just like Grandma's chicken noodle soup, the healthcare
sector is another way to be comforted when your portfolio's
feeling a little under the weather.
Bulk up on banks The only
guarantees in life are death, taxes and Canadian
bank profits. Some market watchers believe that Canadian
banks are immune to the US credit crunch because they
don't have exposure to the subprime mortgage mess that's
eating away at US lenders. Rest assured, that means
you won't either.
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