MARCH 30, 2005
VOLUME 2 NO. 6
 

TIA predicts stroke ETA

Prompt treatment vital to prevent stroke

Current guidelines for TIA patients in critical condition, caution researchers


Kumar P, 69, had to skip his Monday night poker game because a transient ischemic attack (TIA) landed him in the hospital. He missed the next game for a more serious reason — a stroke. Most guidelines for dealing with TIAs stress the danger of stroke facing the patient in the immediate aftermath, particularly the first two days. But a study appearing in the March 8 issue of Neurology suggests that these recommendations underestimate the probability of a stroke following hard on the heels of a TIA, and that the coast isn't clear even up to a week later.

START EARLY
Study author Dr Peter Rothwell of Oxford's Radcliffe Infirmary said, "We have known for some time that TIAs are often a precursor to a major stroke. What we haven't been able to determine is how urgently patients must be assessed following a TIA in order to receive the most effective preventive treatment. This study indicates that the timing of a TIA is critical, and the most effective treatments should be initiated within hours of a TIA in order to prevent a major attack."

The data in the Neurology paper is drawn from four databases — the Oxford Vascular Study, the Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project, the UK-TIA Aspirin Trial and the European Carotid Surgery Trial. Together, these studies included 2,416 subjects who had suffered an ischemic stroke. In 549 patients, TIAs were experienced prior to the stroke. In most cases, the stroke occurred within seven days of the TIA with 17% occurring exactly a week later to the day and 9% of strokes falling one day shy of a full week after the TIA. The vast majority of strokes (43%) hit at some point in the week after a TIA.

Several earlier studies have looked at the risk of stroke following a TIA. Many North American guidelines echo research published in 2000 in the Journal of the American Medical Association, which suggested that TIA patients run a 10% risk of stroke in the three months following their attack. A more recent Canadian investigation followed patients discharged from Ontario stroke centres following TIAs. The research, published in March 2004 in the Canadian Medical Association Journal (CMAJ), found there was a 5% risk of stroke in the three months following a TIA. The risk was slightly higher after a first-ever TIA, and considerably higher when the TIA brought on temporary motor or speech deficits.

TREATMENT NEGLECTED
The converse figures reported in the Neurology article are at least as frightening. Its retrospective analysis found that no fewer than 23% of stroke victims had suffered a previous TIA, and nearly half of these TIAs occurred less than a week before the stroke. Whether the true risk of stroke following TIA is 5% or 10%, it seems clear that these patients are being under treated.

According to the CMAJ article, only 31% of TIA patients received diagnostic imaging before discharge. On average, 76% were discharged direct from the emergency department. CT scan, MRI, cerebral angiography and echocardiography were all used far less than in stroke patients. Fewer than half of the TIA patients received carotid Doppler ultrasonography within 30 days. Only one in 50 underwent carotid endarterectomy within 90 days of their TIA.

Behind these unsatisfactory figures lurks the even graver problem of the TIA patients who never come to emergency, failing to recognize the seriousness of their symptoms. New guidelines will have to address the issue of patient education, as well as ensuring that the guardians of expensive, in-demand diagnostic equipment understand the urgent needs of this population.

The American Heart Asso-ciation and its corollary, the American Stroke Association, are already "completely revising" their TIA guidelines and say the Neurology research will be incorporated. Dr Rothwell has no doubt about what he wants to see in the new approach: "Physicians should arrange specialist assessment within 24 hours," he said.

Neurology Mar 8, 2005;64(5):817-20

 

 

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