JULY 30, 2004
VOLUME 1 NO. 14
 

Simple test found to accurately predict the start of menopause

Expected to "revolutionize" precision family planning. Count your eggs before they're hatched


"Kids! I'm not ready for that commitment just yet," admits Kailie Cruz, a law student. "Granny may have started having kids when she was in her early twenties, but women nowadays are waiting longer," adds the attractive 32-year-old. Kailie, like a lot of women her age, are waiting to finish their education and start a career before having kids. But this strategy could prove to be a dangerous gamble. Inevitably some find out they've waited too long. Menopause can hit as early as age 42, and its onset has traditionally been seen as unpredictable, but research in the July edition of Human Reproduction outlines a simple method for predicting the fertile years left to a premenopausal woman, using nothing more invasive than ultrasound.

The researchers predict their technique, "will revolutionize the management of women requesting assisted conception, those who have had treatment for childhood cancer and those who are considering delaying a family for personal or professional reasons."

All women carry a fixed number of primordial follicles, or immature eggs, and this supply dwindles over the course of a lifetime. This decline is matched by a shrinking of the ovaries. So, the number of eggs remaining correlates to ovarian size.

The researchers found the rate of decline varies little from one woman to another. Rather, variance in menopausal age can be explained by wide differences in the number of follicles present at birth. They believe that women whose ovaries are larger than average for their age, as measured by transvaginal ultrasonography, will hit menopause later, while those with smaller- than-average ovaries have fewer reproductive years left. They plan to conduct a prospective trial to test this hypothesis.

Announcing the findings, Dr Hamish Wallace, of the Royal Hospital for Sick Children in Edinburgh, Scotland, said the research opened the door to the possibility of screening women to see if they were likely to face an early menopause: "There is currently no reliable test of ovarian reserve for an individual woman that will predict accurately her remaining reproductive lifespan."

He said the ultrasound test "may allow us to predict for a woman, aged 25-50, what ovarian reserves she has and at what age she is likely to experience the menopause. In essence, it means we now have the potential to be able to tell a woman how fast her biological clock is ticking and how much time she has before it will run down."

 

 

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